Winnipeg Jets @ Toronto Maple Leafs ================================================== GAME PREDICTION REPORT ===================== Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets WINNER: Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability: 55.7% Predicted Score: 3.0 - 2.6 Predicted Goal Difference: 0.3 goals Game Flow Probabilities: - Regulation Time: 75.0% - Overtime: 19.2% - Shootout: 5.8% Period-by-Period Analysis: Period 1: - Home Win: 36.6% - Away Win: 30.5% - Tie: 32.9% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Period 2: - Home Win: 36.5% - Away Win: 30.7% - Tie: 32.8% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Period 3: - Home Win: 36.3% - Away Win: 31.2% - Tie: 32.5% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Key Statistics: High-Danger Chances: - Toronto Maple Leafs: 7.2 - Winnipeg Jets: 6.3 Power Play Opportunities: - Toronto Maple Leafs: 3.0 - Winnipeg Jets: 3.0 Advanced Metrics: - Expected Game Length: 61.0 minutes - Close Game Probability: 52.9% - Expected Momentum Changes: 0 Confidence Metrics: - Model Confidence: 99.0% - 95% Confidence Interval: -4.06 to 4.71 goals Environmental Factors: - Ice Quality Impact: 0.99 - Home Ice Advantage: 0.99 Goalies: - Home Goalie: Joseph Woll - Away Goalie: Connor Hellebuyck Analysis Based On: - Team-level data (all_teams.csv) - Current season goalie data (goalies.csv) - Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv) - Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown) - Recent form (last 10 games) - Head-to-head matchups - Home/Away performance - Rest advantages - Environmental factors - Playoff implications ACCURACY METRICS =============== Overall Accuracy: 49.0% Win Prediction Accuracy: 30.0% Score Prediction Accuracy: 32.5% Goal Difference Accuracy: 33.5% Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% ==================================================