Washington Capitals @ Toronto Maple Leafs
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GAME PREDICTION REPORT
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals

WINNER: Toronto Maple Leafs
Win Probability: 54.4%
Predicted Score: 3.0 - 2.8
Predicted Goal Difference: 0.2 goals

Game Flow Probabilities:
- Regulation Time: 75.3%
- Overtime: 19.0%
- Shootout: 5.7%

Period-by-Period Analysis:

Period 1:
- Home Win: 36.0%
- Away Win: 31.8%
- Tie: 32.2%
- Expected Goals: 1.9

Period 2:
- Home Win: 35.7%
- Away Win: 32.3%
- Tie: 32.0%
- Expected Goals: 1.9

Period 3:
- Home Win: 35.9%
- Away Win: 32.3%
- Tie: 31.8%
- Expected Goals: 1.9

Key Statistics:
High-Danger Chances:
- Toronto Maple Leafs: 7.3
- Washington Capitals: 6.7

Power Play Opportunities:
- Toronto Maple Leafs: 3.0
- Washington Capitals: 3.0

Advanced Metrics:
- Expected Game Length: 61.0 minutes
- Close Game Probability: 52.2%
- Expected Momentum Changes: 0

Confidence Metrics:
- Model Confidence: 102.0%
- 95% Confidence Interval: -4.09 to 4.55 goals

Environmental Factors:
- Ice Quality Impact: 1.02
- Home Ice Advantage: 1.02

Goalies:
- Home Goalie: Matt Murray
- Away Goalie: Logan Thompson

Analysis Based On:
- Team-level data (all_teams.csv)
- Current season goalie data (goalies.csv)
- Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv)
- Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown)
- Recent form (last 10 games)
- Head-to-head matchups
- Home/Away performance
- Rest advantages
- Environmental factors
- Playoff implications
                
    ACCURACY METRICS
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    Overall Accuracy: 40.4%
    Win Prediction Accuracy: 10.0%
    Score Prediction Accuracy: 30.7%
    Goal Difference Accuracy: 21.0%
    Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0%
    
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