Toronto Maple Leafs @ Detroit Red Wings ================================================== GAME PREDICTION REPORT ===================== Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs WINNER: Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability: 63.6% Predicted Score: 2.6 - 3.4 Predicted Goal Difference: 0.8 goals Game Flow Probabilities: - Regulation Time: 77.4% - Overtime: 17.4% - Shootout: 5.2% Period-by-Period Analysis: Period 1: - Home Win: 27.8% - Away Win: 41.0% - Tie: 31.2% - Expected Goals: 1.9 Period 2: - Home Win: 28.3% - Away Win: 40.6% - Tie: 31.1% - Expected Goals: 1.9 Period 3: - Home Win: 28.8% - Away Win: 40.0% - Tie: 31.2% - Expected Goals: 1.9 Key Statistics: High-Danger Chances: - Detroit Red Wings: 6.2 - Toronto Maple Leafs: 8.2 Power Play Opportunities: - Detroit Red Wings: 3.0 - Toronto Maple Leafs: 3.0 Advanced Metrics: - Expected Game Length: 60.9 minutes - Close Game Probability: 48.7% - Expected Momentum Changes: 0 Confidence Metrics: - Model Confidence: 100.0% - 95% Confidence Interval: -5.45 to 3.83 goals Environmental Factors: - Ice Quality Impact: 1.00 - Home Ice Advantage: 1.00 Goalies: - Home Goalie: Cam Talbot - Away Goalie: Joseph Woll Analysis Based On: - Team-level data (all_teams.csv) - Current season goalie data (goalies.csv) - Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv) - Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown) - Recent form (last 10 games) - Head-to-head matchups - Home/Away performance - Rest advantages - Environmental factors - Playoff implications ACCURACY METRICS =============== Overall Accuracy: 63.3% Win Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% Score Prediction Accuracy: 25.0% Goal Difference Accuracy: 28.3% Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% ==================================================