Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins
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GAME PREDICTION REPORT
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers

WINNER: Pittsburgh Penguins
Win Probability: 55.9%
Predicted Score: 3.0 - 2.7
Predicted Goal Difference: 0.3 goals

Game Flow Probabilities:
- Regulation Time: 75.1%
- Overtime: 19.2%
- Shootout: 5.8%

Period-by-Period Analysis:

Period 1:
- Home Win: 37.0%
- Away Win: 30.4%
- Tie: 32.6%
- Expected Goals: 1.8

Period 2:
- Home Win: 36.9%
- Away Win: 31.0%
- Tie: 32.1%
- Expected Goals: 1.9

Period 3:
- Home Win: 37.0%
- Away Win: 31.3%
- Tie: 31.8%
- Expected Goals: 1.9

Key Statistics:
High-Danger Chances:
- Pittsburgh Penguins: 7.4
- Philadelphia Flyers: 6.5

Power Play Opportunities:
- Pittsburgh Penguins: 3.0
- Philadelphia Flyers: 3.0

Advanced Metrics:
- Expected Game Length: 61.0 minutes
- Close Game Probability: 52.9%
- Expected Momentum Changes: 0

Confidence Metrics:
- Model Confidence: 101.0%
- 95% Confidence Interval: -3.94 to 4.62 goals

Environmental Factors:
- Ice Quality Impact: 1.01
- Home Ice Advantage: 1.01

Goalies:
- Home Goalie: Tristan Jarry
- Away Goalie: Samuel Ersson

Analysis Based On:
- Team-level data (all_teams.csv)
- Current season goalie data (goalies.csv)
- Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv)
- Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown)
- Recent form (last 10 games)
- Head-to-head matchups
- Home/Away performance
- Rest advantages
- Environmental factors
- Playoff implications
                
    ACCURACY METRICS
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    Overall Accuracy: 51.4%
    Win Prediction Accuracy: 30.0%
    Score Prediction Accuracy: 32.3%
    Goal Difference Accuracy: 43.1%
    Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0%
    
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