Philadelphia Flyers @ Anaheim Ducks ================================================== GAME PREDICTION REPORT ===================== Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers WINNER: Anaheim Ducks Win Probability: 53.0% Predicted Score: 2.4 - 2.3 Predicted Goal Difference: 0.2 goals Game Flow Probabilities: - Regulation Time: 72.7% - Overtime: 21.1% - Shootout: 6.2% Period-by-Period Analysis: Period 1: - Home Win: 33.2% - Away Win: 29.7% - Tie: 37.0% - Expected Goals: 1.5 Period 2: - Home Win: 33.0% - Away Win: 29.8% - Tie: 37.2% - Expected Goals: 1.5 Period 3: - Home Win: 33.0% - Away Win: 30.3% - Tie: 36.7% - Expected Goals: 1.5 Key Statistics: High-Danger Chances: - Anaheim Ducks: 5.8 - Philadelphia Flyers: 5.3 Power Play Opportunities: - Anaheim Ducks: 3.0 - Philadelphia Flyers: 3.0 Advanced Metrics: - Expected Game Length: 61.1 minutes - Close Game Probability: 57.6% - Expected Momentum Changes: 0 Confidence Metrics: - Model Confidence: 97.1% - 95% Confidence Interval: -3.91 to 4.23 goals Environmental Factors: - Ice Quality Impact: 0.97 - Home Ice Advantage: 0.97 Goalies: - Home Goalie: Lukas Dostal - Away Goalie: Samuel Ersson Analysis Based On: - Team-level data (all_teams.csv) - Current season goalie data (goalies.csv) - Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv) - Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown) - Recent form (last 10 games) - Head-to-head matchups - Home/Away performance - Rest advantages - Environmental factors - Playoff implications ACCURACY METRICS =============== Overall Accuracy: 55.5% Win Prediction Accuracy: 20.0% Score Prediction Accuracy: 46.7% Goal Difference Accuracy: 55.3% Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% ==================================================