Ottawa Senators @ Winnipeg Jets ================================================== GAME PREDICTION REPORT ===================== Winnipeg Jets vs Ottawa Senators WINNER: Winnipeg Jets Win Probability: 71.9% Predicted Score: 3.9 - 2.6 Predicted Goal Difference: 1.3 goals Game Flow Probabilities: - Regulation Time: 79.8% - Overtime: 15.5% - Shootout: 4.7% Period-by-Period Analysis: Period 1: - Home Win: 48.2% - Away Win: 23.4% - Tie: 28.3% - Expected Goals: 2.1 Period 2: - Home Win: 46.9% - Away Win: 24.7% - Tie: 28.3% - Expected Goals: 2.1 Period 3: - Home Win: 45.6% - Away Win: 25.7% - Tie: 28.8% - Expected Goals: 2.1 Key Statistics: High-Danger Chances: - Winnipeg Jets: 9.6 - Ottawa Senators: 6.3 Power Play Opportunities: - Winnipeg Jets: 3.0 - Ottawa Senators: 3.0 Advanced Metrics: - Expected Game Length: 60.8 minutes - Close Game Probability: 43.8% - Expected Momentum Changes: 0 Confidence Metrics: - Model Confidence: 102.0% - 95% Confidence Interval: -3.20 to 5.87 goals Environmental Factors: - Ice Quality Impact: 1.02 - Home Ice Advantage: 1.02 Goalies: - Home Goalie: Connor Hellebuyck - Away Goalie: Leevi Merilainen Analysis Based On: - Team-level data (all_teams.csv) - Current season goalie data (goalies.csv) - Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv) - Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown) - Recent form (last 10 games) - Head-to-head matchups - Home/Away performance - Rest advantages - Environmental factors - Playoff implications ACCURACY METRICS =============== Overall Accuracy: 55.9% Win Prediction Accuracy: 70.0% Score Prediction Accuracy: 23.7% Goal Difference Accuracy: 30.1% Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% ==================================================