New York Rangers @ Tampa Bay Lightning ================================================== GAME PREDICTION REPORT ===================== Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers WINNER: Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability: 52.7% Predicted Score: 2.8 - 2.7 Predicted Goal Difference: 0.1 goals Game Flow Probabilities: - Regulation Time: 74.6% - Overtime: 19.5% - Shootout: 5.9% Period-by-Period Analysis: Period 1: - Home Win: 34.3% - Away Win: 32.1% - Tie: 33.6% - Expected Goals: 1.7 Period 2: - Home Win: 34.0% - Away Win: 32.6% - Tie: 33.3% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Period 3: - Home Win: 33.8% - Away Win: 32.9% - Tie: 33.3% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Key Statistics: High-Danger Chances: - Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.7 - New York Rangers: 6.5 Power Play Opportunities: - Tampa Bay Lightning: 3.0 - New York Rangers: 3.0 Advanced Metrics: - Expected Game Length: 61.0 minutes - Close Game Probability: 53.4% - Expected Momentum Changes: 0 Confidence Metrics: - Model Confidence: 100.0% - 95% Confidence Interval: -4.23 to 4.43 goals Environmental Factors: - Ice Quality Impact: 1.00 - Home Ice Advantage: 1.00 Goalies: - Home Goalie: Andrei Vasilevskiy - Away Goalie: Igor Shesterkin Analysis Based On: - Team-level data (all_teams.csv) - Current season goalie data (goalies.csv) - Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv) - Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown) - Recent form (last 10 games) - Head-to-head matchups - Home/Away performance - Rest advantages - Environmental factors - Playoff implications ACCURACY METRICS =============== Overall Accuracy: 51.0% Win Prediction Accuracy: 50.0% Score Prediction Accuracy: 33.9% Goal Difference Accuracy: 20.1% Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% ==================================================