Montreal Canadiens @ Columbus Blue Jackets ================================================== GAME PREDICTION REPORT ===================== Columbus Blue Jackets vs Montreal Canadiens WINNER: Columbus Blue Jackets Win Probability: 52.8% Predicted Score: 2.9 - 2.7 Predicted Goal Difference: 0.1 goals Game Flow Probabilities: - Regulation Time: 75.0% - Overtime: 19.3% - Shootout: 5.7% Period-by-Period Analysis: Period 1: - Home Win: 35.2% - Away Win: 31.9% - Tie: 32.9% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Period 2: - Home Win: 35.5% - Away Win: 31.9% - Tie: 32.6% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Period 3: - Home Win: 35.4% - Away Win: 32.1% - Tie: 32.5% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Key Statistics: High-Danger Chances: - Columbus Blue Jackets: 6.9 - Montreal Canadiens: 6.6 Power Play Opportunities: - Columbus Blue Jackets: 3.0 - Montreal Canadiens: 3.0 Advanced Metrics: - Expected Game Length: 61.0 minutes - Close Game Probability: 53.3% - Expected Momentum Changes: 0 Confidence Metrics: - Model Confidence: 96.2% - 95% Confidence Interval: -4.34 to 4.63 goals Environmental Factors: - Ice Quality Impact: 0.96 - Home Ice Advantage: 0.96 Goalies: - Home Goalie: Elvis Merzlikins - Away Goalie: Cayden Primeau Analysis Based On: - Team-level data (all_teams.csv) - Current season goalie data (goalies.csv) - Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv) - Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown) - Recent form (last 10 games) - Head-to-head matchups - Home/Away performance - Rest advantages - Environmental factors - Playoff implications ACCURACY METRICS =============== Overall Accuracy: 56.4% Win Prediction Accuracy: 40.0% Score Prediction Accuracy: 36.9% Goal Difference Accuracy: 48.7% Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% ==================================================