Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning ================================================== GAME PREDICTION REPORT ===================== Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers WINNER: Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability: 53.8% Predicted Score: 3.2 - 3.0 Predicted Goal Difference: 0.2 goals Game Flow Probabilities: - Regulation Time: 76.5% - Overtime: 18.0% - Shootout: 5.5% Period-by-Period Analysis: Period 1: - Home Win: 36.5% - Away Win: 32.9% - Tie: 30.6% - Expected Goals: 2.0 Period 2: - Home Win: 36.7% - Away Win: 32.8% - Tie: 30.5% - Expected Goals: 2.0 Period 3: - Home Win: 36.7% - Away Win: 32.9% - Tie: 30.4% - Expected Goals: 2.0 Key Statistics: High-Danger Chances: - Tampa Bay Lightning: 7.8 - Florida Panthers: 7.2 Power Play Opportunities: - Tampa Bay Lightning: 3.0 - Florida Panthers: 3.0 Advanced Metrics: - Expected Game Length: 61.0 minutes - Close Game Probability: 50.0% - Expected Momentum Changes: 0 Confidence Metrics: - Model Confidence: 100.0% - 95% Confidence Interval: -4.43 to 4.88 goals Environmental Factors: - Ice Quality Impact: 1.00 - Home Ice Advantage: 1.00 Goalies: - Home Goalie: Andrei Vasilevskiy - Away Goalie: Sergei Bobrovsky Analysis Based On: - Team-level data (all_teams.csv) - Current season goalie data (goalies.csv) - Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv) - Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown) - Recent form (last 10 games) - Head-to-head matchups - Home/Away performance - Rest advantages - Environmental factors - Playoff implications ACCURACY METRICS =============== Overall Accuracy: 60.8% Win Prediction Accuracy: 60.0% Score Prediction Accuracy: 30.8% Goal Difference Accuracy: 52.4% Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% ==================================================