Carolina Hurricanes @ New Jersey Devils ================================================== GAME PREDICTION REPORT ===================== New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes WINNER: New Jersey Devils Win Probability: 50.4% Predicted Score: 2.7 - 2.8 Predicted Goal Difference: 0.0 goals Game Flow Probabilities: - Regulation Time: 74.6% - Overtime: 19.6% - Shootout: 5.8% Period-by-Period Analysis: Period 1: - Home Win: 32.9% - Away Win: 33.9% - Tie: 33.1% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Period 2: - Home Win: 33.1% - Away Win: 34.0% - Tie: 32.9% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Period 3: - Home Win: 33.2% - Away Win: 34.1% - Tie: 32.7% - Expected Goals: 1.8 Key Statistics: High-Danger Chances: - New Jersey Devils: 6.6 - Carolina Hurricanes: 6.8 Power Play Opportunities: - New Jersey Devils: 3.0 - Carolina Hurricanes: 3.0 Advanced Metrics: - Expected Game Length: 61.0 minutes - Close Game Probability: 53.7% - Expected Momentum Changes: 0 Confidence Metrics: - Model Confidence: 101.0% - 95% Confidence Interval: -4.29 to 4.21 goals Environmental Factors: - Ice Quality Impact: 1.01 - Home Ice Advantage: 1.01 Goalies: - Home Goalie: Jacob Markstrom - Away Goalie: Pyotr Kochetkov Analysis Based On: - Team-level data (all_teams.csv) - Current season goalie data (goalies.csv) - Starting goalie (starting_goalies.csv) - Special teams logic (5v5, 5v4, 4v5 breakdown) - Recent form (last 10 games) - Head-to-head matchups - Home/Away performance - Rest advantages - Environmental factors - Playoff implications ACCURACY METRICS =============== Overall Accuracy: 53.7% Win Prediction Accuracy: 70.0% Score Prediction Accuracy: 26.4% Goal Difference Accuracy: 18.5% Overtime Prediction Accuracy: 100.0% ==================================================