MLB Betting Analysis Prompts

Analyze the provided pitcher vs batter matchup data for the upcoming MLB game. Focus on specific matchup advantages, handedness splits, and individual player performance metrics. Individual Pitcher vs Batter Matchups: - Historical performance between specific pitchers and today's batters - Sample sizes for each matchup (plate appearances) - Strong/weak matchup grades and significant performance patterns - Recent performance vs today's opponent from any prior meetings Handedness Matchup Analysis: - Today's lineup performance vs opposing pitcher handedness (LHP/RHP) - Starting pitcher effectiveness vs opposite-handed batters from today's lineup - Platoon advantages and disadvantages in actual batting order - Switch hitters and their preferred side vs today's starter Pitcher Arsenal vs Today's Lineup: - Pitch grades (A-F scale) for each starter's repertoire - Strongest and weakest pitches in each arsenal - Effectiveness vs left and right-handed batters from actual lineups - Pitch type vulnerabilities for key opposing hitters Simulation and Projection Analysis: - Projected outcomes: runs, hits, strikeouts, walks by inning - Individual player projection data vs today's starter - Team scoring distribution patterns and timing - Expected game flow and length projections Key Individual Matchups: - Highest rated matchup advantages for each pitcher vs today's lineup - Most vulnerable hitters vs opposing starter style/arsenal - Protection and lineup construction around key hitters - Late-game pinch hitting and platoon considerations Batting Order Construction: - Quality of protection around each team's best hitters - Lineup optimization vs today's starting pitcher handedness - Potential in-game matchup adjustments and bench advantages - Contact/power balance throughout each batting order Study all matchup data thoroughly without making recommendations yet. This information will be combined with team statistics from Prompt 1 to determine betting value in final analysis. NEXT is Prompt 3.

Based on all statistical data provided in Prompts 1 and 2, evaluate whether my proposed bet(s) below offer genuine value: [PROPOSED BET(S)]: [USER INPUTS SPECIFIC BETS HERE] MLB Standings Integration: - Apply current standings context from Prompt 1 to assess team motivation and psychological factors - Weight playoff positioning pressure, division race dynamics, and spoiler scenarios - Factor games back, recent form sustainability, and expected vs actual record gaps - Consider home/away performance relative to current standings position Current Bullpen Usage Analysis: - Cross-reference recent schedule patterns from Prompt 1 with bullpen usage indicators - Identify fatigued or unavailable relievers based on recent game situations - Assess high-leverage reliever availability for close game scenarios - Factor bullpen depth and quality of available arms into game projections Enhanced Value Assessment: - Synthesize all statistical data with current standings context and recent momentum - Weight simulation projections as directional indicators only - prioritize actual historical performance - Calculate true win probabilities incorporating standings motivation and schedule advantages - Compare true probability to implied probability of offered odds - Identify cascading advantages where multiple factors compound betting value - Account for psychological edges from recent head-to-head performance and standings position Data Synthesis Requirements: - Connect statistical advantages with current team momentum from standings and recent form - Resolve conflicts between statistical projections and recent performance trends - Identify where betting edge materializes: early innings, late game, or momentum factors - Determine if recent form is sustainable or due for regression based on underlying metrics Final Recommendation Format: Estimated Score: [AWAY TEAM SCORE] - [HOME TEAM SCORE] Team with Edge: [TEAM NAME or "Neither"] Momentum Factor: [TEAM NAME or "Neutral"] - [Brief explanation including standings context] Estimated True Win Probability & Fair Odds: - Away Team: [WIN %] ([AMERICAN ODDS]) - Home Team: [WIN %] ([AMERICAN ODDS]) [FOR EACH PROPOSED BET] Bet Assessment: [PROPOSED BET] Value: [YES/NO] Confidence: [LOW/MEDIUM/HIGH if YES] or [ALTERNATIVE BET SUGGESTION if NO] Expected Value: [+X.X% or -X.X%] Primary Edge Source: [Statistics/Momentum/Schedule Intelligence/Standings Context/Combined] Reasoning: [CONCISE EXPLANATION BASED ON DATA AND STANDINGS/MOMENTUM ANALYSIS] [IF NO SPECIFIC BETS PROPOSED] Best Bet Recommendation: [SPECIFIC BET WITH ODDS] or [NO BET] Confidence: [LOW/MEDIUM/HIGH] Expected Value: [+X.X%] Primary Edge Source: [Statistics/Momentum/Schedule Intelligence/Standings Context/Combined] Reasoning: [CONCISE EXPLANATION] Summary: - Best Bet: [BEST BET or "NO BET"] - Estimated Win Probability: [TEAM] [PROBABILITY]% ([ODDS]) - Estimated Total Runs: [NUMBER] - Momentum Impact: [HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW] - [Brief explanation including standings context] - Bullpen Advantage: [TEAM NAME or "Neutral"] - [Brief explanation] - Key Insight: [ONE SENTENCE HIGHLIGHTING MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR INCLUDING STANDINGS/RECENT PERFORMANCE] Minimum Standards: Only recommend bets with >3% expected value. If no clear value exists after thorough analysis including standings and schedule factors, state "TOO CLOSE TO CALL - RECOMMEND NO BET"