MLB Betting Analysis Prompts

MLB Bullpen Usage Data

Latest bullpen usage files - Updated daily for AI knowledge base

BullPenUsage_Combined_2025-06-05.csv
Last modified: 2025-06-05 05:07:23
Download Bullpen Data

MLB Standings Data

Latest standings files - Updated daily for AI knowledge base

MLB_Standings_2025-06-05.csv
Last modified: 2025-06-05 05:31:36
Download Standings Data

MLB Game Selection

Standings & Bullpen
Game Stats Analysis
Pitchers vs. Batters
Final Betting Analysis

MLB Standings & Bullpen Usage Analysis

This prompt analyzes current standings context and bullpen usage patterns from your knowledge base files.

Team Statistics & Schedule Analysis

This prompt provides detailed analysis of starting pitchers, team batting, and recent schedule patterns for momentum analysis.

Pitcher vs. Batter Matchups

This prompt analyzes specific pitcher vs. batter matchup data, handedness advantages, and individual player performance metrics.

Analyze the provided pitcher vs batter matchup data for the upcoming MLB game established in previous prompts. Focus on specific pitching matchup advantages, handedness splits, and individual player performance metrics. Reference insights from Prompts 1 and 2 when relevant. Using the provided screenshots, organize and analyze: INDIVIDUAL PITCHER VS BATTER MATCHUPS: - Historical performance between specific pitchers and today's batters - Sample sizes for each matchup (plate appearances) and statistical significance - Strong/weak matchup grades and significant performance patterns - Recent performance vs today's opponent from any prior meetings - Career dominance or struggles in head-to-head battles HANDEDNESS MATCHUP ANALYSIS: - Today's lineup performance vs opposing pitcher handedness (LHP/RHP) - Starting pitcher effectiveness vs opposite-handed batters from today's lineup - Platoon advantages and disadvantages in actual batting order - Switch hitters and their preferred side vs today's starter - Left/right splits for key hitters in today's lineups PITCHER ARSENAL VS TODAY'S LINEUP: - Pitch grades (A-F scale) for each starter's repertoire - Strongest and weakest pitches in each arsenal - Effectiveness vs left and right-handed batters from actual lineups - Pitch type vulnerabilities for key opposing hitters - Arsenal depth and secondary pitch quality SIMULATION AND PROJECTION ANALYSIS: - Projected outcomes: runs, hits, strikeouts, walks by inning - Individual player projection data vs today's starter - Team scoring distribution patterns and timing - Expected game flow and length projections - Treat simulation data as directional indicators only KEY INDIVIDUAL MATCHUPS: - Highest rated matchup advantages for each pitcher vs today's lineup - Most vulnerable hitters vs opposing starter style/arsenal - Protection and lineup construction around key hitters - Late-game pinch hitting and platoon considerations - Impact players with significant historical edges BATTING ORDER CONSTRUCTION: - Quality of protection around each team's best hitters - Lineup optimization vs today's starting pitcher handedness - Potential in-game matchup adjustments and bench advantages - Contact/power balance throughout each batting order - Lineup depth and situational hitting capabilities IMPORTANT: This is data collection and organization only. DO NOT calculate betting edges, make predictions, calculate probabilities, or provide betting recommendations. Organize pitching matchup data and lineup analysis systematically. Reference previous prompt analyses when relevant. Focus on creating clear insights about: 1. Individual pitcher vs batter historical advantages and sample sizes 2. Handedness matchup benefits for each team's lineup 3. Pitcher arsenal effectiveness vs today's specific batters 4. Key vulnerable matchups and protection factors 5. Simulation context as directional guidance only Study all matchup screenshot data thoroughly without making recommendations. This information will be combined with standings context from Prompt 1 and team statistics from Prompt 2 for comprehensive betting analysis in Prompt 4. NEXT: Prompt 4 - Final Bet Evaluation with Recommendations

Final Betting Analysis

This prompt evaluates your proposed bets based on all statistical data from Prompts 1-3, providing comprehensive value assessment and final recommendations.

Based on all statistical data provided in Prompts 1, 2, and 3, evaluate whether the proposed bet(s) below offer genuine value using comprehensive data synthesis and enhanced statistical weighting. [PROPOSED BET(S)]: [INSERT SPECIFIC BETS AND ODDS] COMPREHENSIVE DATA SYNTHESIS: MLB Standings Integration: - Apply current standings context from Prompt 1 to assess team motivation and psychological factors - Weight playoff positioning pressure, division race dynamics, and spoiler scenarios - Factor games back, recent form sustainability, and expected vs actual record gaps - Consider home/away performance relative to current standings position Current Bullpen Usage Analysis: - Cross-reference recent schedule patterns from Prompt 2 with bullpen usage indicators from Prompt 1 - Identify fatigued or unavailable relievers based on recent game situations - Assess high-leverage reliever availability for close game scenarios - Factor bullpen depth and quality of available arms into game projections Enhanced Value Assessment: - Synthesize all statistical data with current standings context and recent momentum - Weight simulation projections from Prompt 3 as directional indicators only - prioritize actual historical performance - Calculate true win probabilities incorporating standings motivation, bullpen availability, and pitching matchups - Compare true probability to implied probability of offered odds - Identify cascading advantages where multiple factors compound betting value - Account for psychological edges from recent head-to-head performance and standings position Data Synthesis Requirements: - Connect statistical advantages with current team momentum from standings and recent form - Resolve conflicts between statistical projections and recent performance trends - Identify where betting edge materializes: early innings, late game, bullpen factors, or momentum - Determine if recent form is sustainable or due for regression based on underlying metrics - Apply Enhanced Statistical Weighting Model (22% Starting Pitching, 18% Team Batting, 18% Bullpen Performance, 12% Ballpark/Weather, 12% Standings/Momentum, 9% vs Pitcher Type, 7% Individual Matchups, 2% Regression Factors) FINAL RECOMMENDATION FORMAT: Estimated Score: [AWAY TEAM SCORE] - [HOME TEAM SCORE] Team with Edge: [TEAM NAME or "Neither"] Momentum Factor: [TEAM NAME or "Neutral"] - [Brief explanation including standings context from Prompt 1] Estimated True Win Probability & Fair Odds: - Away Team: [WIN %] ([AMERICAN ODDS]) - Home Team: [WIN %] ([AMERICAN ODDS]) [FOR EACH PROPOSED BET] Bet Assessment: [PROPOSED BET] Value: [YES/NO] Confidence: [LOW/MEDIUM/HIGH if YES] or [ALTERNATIVE BET SUGGESTION if NO] Expected Value: [+X.X% or -X.X%] Primary Edge Source: [Statistics/Momentum/Schedule Intelligence/Standings Context/Bullpen Availability/Combined] Reasoning: [CONCISE EXPLANATION BASED ON DATA AND ANALYSIS FROM PROMPTS 1-3] [IF NO SPECIFIC BETS PROPOSED] Best Bet Recommendation: [SPECIFIC BET WITH ODDS] or [NO BET] Confidence: [LOW/MEDIUM/HIGH] Expected Value: [+X.X%] Primary Edge Source: [Statistics/Momentum/Schedule Intelligence/Standings Context/Bullpen Availability/Combined] Reasoning: [CONCISE EXPLANATION] SUMMARY: - Best Bet: [BEST BET or "NO BET"] - Estimated Win Probability: [TEAM] [PROBABILITY]% ([ODDS]) - Estimated Total Runs: [NUMBER] - Momentum Impact: [HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW] - [Brief explanation including standings context from Prompt 1] - Bullpen Advantage: [TEAM NAME or "Neutral"] - [Brief explanation incorporating Prompt 1 analysis] - Key Insight: [ONE SENTENCE HIGHLIGHTING MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR INCLUDING STANDINGS/RECENT PERFORMANCE/BULLPEN AVAILABILITY] MINIMUM STANDARDS: Only recommend bets with >3% expected value. If no clear value exists after thorough analysis including standings, bullpen availability, and schedule factors from all previous prompts, state "TOO CLOSE TO CALL - RECOMMEND NO BET" Apply Enhanced Statistical Weighting Model and synthesize insights from all previous prompts to identify genuine betting value through comprehensive analysis.